Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Aberdeen

43%

Draw

33%

ST Johnstone

25%

Model favoured Aberdeen to win

AberdeenMatch statsST Johnstone

65%

Aberdeen

Poss
%

35%

ST Johnstone

22Shots5

5Shots on target1

15Shots inside box5

13Corners2

7Fouls10

0Yellow cards0

Expected goals (xG)

1.2 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Aberdeen

DWDWL

ST Johnstone

DWLDW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Aberdeen 4W · 4D · 2W ST Johnstone

League position

Aberdeen: 8/12 · ST Johnstone: 5/12

Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone result & analysis

The match finished Aberdeen 0 ST Johnstone 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Aberdeen on a 43% win probability, against 25% for ST Johnstone and 33% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Aberdeen and 0.9 for ST Johnstone, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Aberdeen had taken mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). ST Johnstone had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Aberdeen have won 4, ST Johnstone 2 and 4 finished level. In the table, Aberdeen sat 8/12 and ST Johnstone 5/12. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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