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Premiership·Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00
AberdeenAberdeen
VS
ST MirrenST Mirren

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Aberdeen
47%
Draw
33%
ST Mirren
20%
Model leans towards Aberdeen to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.3 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

Aberdeen
DDWDW
ST Mirren
DWLLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Aberdeen 2W · 1D · 7W ST Mirren

League position

Aberdeen: 7/12 · ST Mirren: 5/12

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren match preview

Our AI model makes Aberdeen the favourites for this Premiership fixture, giving them a 47% chance of victory against 20% for ST Mirren and 33% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Aberdeen and 0.8 for ST Mirren, pointing towards a cagey, low-scoring game. Aberdeen take mixed form into the game (2W-3D-0L in their last 5). ST Mirren have been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Aberdeen have won 2, ST Mirren 7 and 1 finished level. In the table, Aberdeen sit 7/12 and ST Mirren 5/12. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Aberdeen vs ST Mirren: frequently asked questions

Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?

Our AI model makes Aberdeen to win the most likely outcome, giving Aberdeen a 47% chance, the draw 33% and ST Mirren 20%.

How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?

The model projects 1.3 expected goals for Aberdeen and 0.8 for ST Mirren (2.1 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Aberdeen and ST Mirren in?

Aberdeen are 2W-3D-0L and ST Mirren are 1W-1D-3L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Aberdeen & ST Mirren news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org