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Süper Lig·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
VS
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

Alanya Oba Stadium

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Alanyaspor
53%
Draw
28%
Erzurumspor FK
19%
Model leans towards Alanyaspor to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.5 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

Alanyaspor
WLWDW
Erzurumspor FK
LDWLW

Head-to-head (last 5)

Alanyaspor 2W · 1D · 2W Erzurumspor FK

League position

Alanyaspor: 5/18 · Erzurumspor FK: 14/18

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK match preview

Our AI model makes Alanyaspor the favourites for this Süper Lig fixture, giving them a 53% chance of victory against 19% for Erzurumspor FK and 28% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.5 expected goals (xG) for Alanyaspor and 0.8 for Erzurumspor FK, pointing towards a moderately open game. Alanyaspor take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Erzurumspor FK have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 5 meetings, Alanyaspor have won 2, Erzurumspor FK 2 and 1 finished level. In the table, Alanyaspor sit 5/18 and Erzurumspor FK 14/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK: frequently asked questions

Who will win Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our AI model makes Alanyaspor to win the most likely outcome, giving Alanyaspor a 53% chance, the draw 28% and Erzurumspor FK 19%.

How many goals are expected in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

The model projects 1.5 expected goals for Alanyaspor and 0.8 for Erzurumspor FK (2.3 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK in?

Alanyaspor are 3W-1D-1L and Erzurumspor FK are 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org