La Liga·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:15
Alaves
Atletico MadridEstadio de Mendizorroza · Full time
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
AlavesAtletico Madrid%
Expected goals (xG)
1.3 vs 1.6
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
Alaves 2W · 2D · 6W Atletico Madrid
League position
Alaves: 6/20 · Atletico Madrid: 2/20
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid result & analysis
The match finished Alaves 1 Atletico Madrid 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Atletico Madrid on a 44% win probability, against 29% for Alaves and 27% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Alaves and 1.6 for Atletico Madrid, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Alaves had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Atletico Madrid had been strong over the same stretch (4W-0D-1L).
Over their last 10 meetings, Alaves have won 2, Atletico Madrid 6 and 2 finished level. In the table, Alaves sat 6/20 and Atletico Madrid 2/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: frequently asked questions
Who won Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Atletico Madrid to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
3 in total (Alaves 1, Atletico Madrid 2). The model had projected 1.3 and 1.6 expected goals.
What form did Alaves and Atletico Madrid take into the match?
Alaves were 1W-1D-3L and Atletico Madrid were 4W-0D-1L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get Alaves vs Atletico Madrid right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org