La Liga·Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 13:00
Alaves
Deportivo La CorunaEstadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
AlavesDeportivo La CorunaExpected goals (xG)
1.5 vs 1.1
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 5)
Alaves 3W · 1D · 1W Deportivo La Coruna
League position
Alaves: 12/20 · Deportivo La Coruna: 9/20
Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna match preview
Our AI model makes Alaves the favourites for this La Liga fixture, giving them a 41% chance of victory against 29% for Deportivo La Coruna and 30% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 1.5 expected goals (xG) for Alaves and 1.1 for Deportivo La Coruna, pointing towards a moderately open game. Alaves take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Deportivo La Coruna have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).
Over their last 5 meetings, Alaves have won 3, Deportivo La Coruna 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Alaves sit 12/20 and Deportivo La Coruna 9/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna: frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our AI model makes Alaves to win the most likely outcome, giving Alaves a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Deportivo La Coruna 29%.
How many goals are expected in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model projects 1.5 expected goals for Alaves and 1.1 for Deportivo La Coruna (2.6 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are Alaves and Deportivo La Coruna in?
Alaves are 1W-2D-2L and Deportivo La Coruna are 2W-2D-1L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org