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UEFA Nations League·Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 19:45
AlbaniaAlbania
2:1
San MarinoSan Marino

Arena Kombëtare · Full time

Albania vs San Marino prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Albania
94%
Draw
6%
San Marino
69%
Model favoured Albania to win
AlbaniaMatch statsSan Marino
70%
Albania
Poss
%
30%
San Marino
26Shots8
7Shots on target3
21Shots inside box3
10Corners1
11Fouls20
1Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

3.7 vs 0.3

Form (last 5)

Albania
LWWLW
San Marino
LLLLL

Head-to-head (last 4)

Albania 4W · 0D · 0W San Marino

Albania vs San Marino result & analysis

The match finished Albania 2 San Marino 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Albania on a 94% win probability, against 69% for San Marino and 6% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 3.7 expected goals (xG) for Albania and 0.3 for San Marino, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Albania had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). San Marino had been poor over the same stretch (0W-0D-5L).

Over their last 4 meetings, Albania have won 4, San Marino 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Albania vs San Marino: frequently asked questions

Who won Albania vs San Marino?

Albania won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Albania to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Albania vs San Marino?

3 in total (Albania 2, San Marino 1). The model had projected 3.7 and 0.3 expected goals.

What form did Albania and San Marino take into the match?

Albania were 3W-0D-2L and San Marino were 0W-0D-5L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Albania vs San Marino right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org