Arsenal vs Leeds prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Arsenal

76%

Draw

18%

Leeds

Model favoured Arsenal to win

ArsenalMatch statsLeeds

59%

Arsenal

Poss
%

41%

Leeds

12Shots11

4Shots on target5

8Shots inside box7

2Corners4

12Fouls20

1Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

2.3 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Arsenal

WWWLW

Leeds

DLWDL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Arsenal 9W · 1D · 0W Leeds

League position

Arsenal: 2/20 · Leeds: 6/20

Arsenal vs Leeds result & analysis

The match finished Arsenal 2 Leeds 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Arsenal on a 76% win probability, against 6% for Leeds and 18% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.3 expected goals (xG) for Arsenal and 0.6 for Leeds, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Arsenal had taken strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Leeds had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Arsenal have won 9, Leeds 0 and 1 finished level. In the table, Arsenal sat 2/20 and Leeds 6/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.