AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

AS Roma

26%

Draw

24%

Cagliari

49%

Model leans towards Cagliari to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 2.0

Form (last 5)

AS Roma

WDDLW

Cagliari

LWWWD

Head-to-head (last 10)

AS Roma 7W · 1D · 2W Cagliari

League position

AS Roma: 3/20 · Cagliari: 7/20

AS Roma vs Cagliari match preview

Our AI model makes Cagliari the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 49% chance of victory against 26% for AS Roma and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.7 expected goals (xG) for AS Roma and 2.0 for Cagliari, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. AS Roma take mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). Cagliari have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, AS Roma have won 7, Cagliari 2 and 1 finished level. In the table, AS Roma sit 3/20 and Cagliari 7/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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