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Serie A·Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 19:45
AS RomaAS Roma
VS
SassuoloSassuolo

Stadio Olimpico

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

AS Roma
72%
Draw
16%
Sassuolo
13%
Model leans towards AS Roma to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.8 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

AS Roma
WWDWW
Sassuolo
LDLLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

AS Roma 5W · 4D · 1W Sassuolo

League position

AS Roma: 3/20 · Sassuolo: 15/20

AS Roma vs Sassuolo match preview

Our AI model makes AS Roma the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 72% chance of victory against 13% for Sassuolo and 16% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.8 expected goals (xG) for AS Roma and 0.9 for Sassuolo, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. AS Roma take strong form into the game (4W-1D-0L in their last 5). Sassuolo have been poor over the same stretch (0W-1D-4L).

Over their last 10 meetings, AS Roma have won 5, Sassuolo 1 and 4 finished level. In the table, AS Roma sit 3/20 and Sassuolo 15/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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AS Roma vs Sassuolo: frequently asked questions

Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

Our AI model makes AS Roma to win the most likely outcome, giving AS Roma a 72% chance, the draw 16% and Sassuolo 13%.

How many goals are expected in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

The model projects 2.8 expected goals for AS Roma and 0.9 for Sassuolo (3.7 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are AS Roma and Sassuolo in?

AS Roma are 4W-1D-0L and Sassuolo are 0W-1D-4L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org