Atalanta vs Venezia prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Atalanta

67%

Draw

21%

Venezia

12%

Model favoured Atalanta to win

AtalantaMatch statsVenezia

36%

Atalanta

Poss
%

64%

Venezia

22Shots19

11Shots on target4

16Shots inside box10

8Corners7

14Fouls6

0Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

2.1 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Atalanta

WLLLW

Venezia

LLLLL

Head-to-head (last 5)

Atalanta 4W · 1D · 0W Venezia

League position

Atalanta: 10/20 · Venezia: 20/20

Atalanta vs Venezia result & analysis

The match finished Atalanta 3 Venezia 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Atalanta on a 67% win probability, against 12% for Venezia and 21% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.1 expected goals (xG) for Atalanta and 0.6 for Venezia, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Atalanta had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Venezia had been poor over the same stretch (0W-0D-5L).

Over their last 5 meetings, Atalanta have won 4, Venezia 0 and 1 finished level. In the table, Atalanta sat 10/20 and Venezia 20/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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