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Ligue 1·Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 16:15
AuxerreAuxerre
VS
Paris FCParis FC

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Auxerre
43%
Draw
29%
Paris FC
28%
Model leans towards Auxerre to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.5 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Auxerre
WWLWD
Paris FC
DWLWL

Head-to-head (last 8)

Auxerre 3W · 4D · 1W Paris FC

Auxerre vs Paris FC match preview

Our AI model makes Auxerre the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 43% chance of victory against 28% for Paris FC and 29% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.5 expected goals (xG) for Auxerre and 1.0 for Paris FC, pointing towards a moderately open game. Auxerre take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Paris FC have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 8 meetings, Auxerre have won 3, Paris FC 1 and 4 finished level. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Auxerre vs Paris FC: frequently asked questions

Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?

Our AI model makes Auxerre to win the most likely outcome, giving Auxerre a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Paris FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Paris FC?

The model projects 1.5 expected goals for Auxerre and 1.0 for Paris FC (2.5 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Auxerre and Paris FC in?

Auxerre are 3W-1D-1L and Paris FC are 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Auxerre vs Paris FC?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org