Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Auxerre

44%

Draw

32%

Stade Brestois 29

24%

Model favoured Auxerre to win

AuxerreMatch statsStade Brestois 29

52%

Auxerre

Poss
%

48%

Stade Brestois 29

10Shots8

4Shots on target2

2Shots inside box3

8Corners3

18Fouls13

1Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.3 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Auxerre

LLLWW

Stade Brestois 29

DDWLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Auxerre 3W · 2D · 5W Stade Brestois 29

League position

Auxerre: 9/18 · Stade Brestois 29: 11/18

Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 result & analysis

The match finished Auxerre 2 Stade Brestois 29 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Auxerre on a 44% win probability, against 24% for Stade Brestois 29 and 32% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Auxerre and 0.9 for Stade Brestois 29, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Auxerre had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Stade Brestois 29 had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Auxerre have won 3, Stade Brestois 29 5 and 2 finished level. In the table, Auxerre sat 9/18 and Stade Brestois 29 11/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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