UEFA Europa League·Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 17:45
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Beer ShevaAFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer ShevaExpected goals (xG)
3.1 vs 0.5
Form (last 5)
League position
AZ Alkmaar: 26/36 · Hapoel Beer Sheva: 20/36
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva match preview
Our AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourites for this UEFA Europa League fixture, giving them a 87% chance of victory against 3% for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 10% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 3.1 expected goals (xG) for AZ Alkmaar and 0.5 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. AZ Alkmaar take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Hapoel Beer Sheva have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).
In the table, AZ Alkmaar sit 26/36 and Hapoel Beer Sheva 20/36. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: frequently asked questions
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our AI model makes AZ Alkmaar to win the most likely outcome, giving AZ Alkmaar a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 3%.
How many goals are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model projects 3.1 expected goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.5 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (3.6 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva in?
AZ Alkmaar are 3W-1D-1L and Hapoel Beer Sheva are 2W-2D-1L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org