Bahia vs Mirassol prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Bahia

67%

Draw

21%

Mirassol

12%

Model leans towards Bahia to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.2 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Bahia

WWWWL

Mirassol

LWDWW

Head-to-head (last 3)

Bahia 1W · 1D · 1W Mirassol

League position

Bahia: 5/20 · Mirassol: 15/20

Bahia vs Mirassol match preview

Our AI model makes Bahia the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 67% chance of victory against 12% for Mirassol and 21% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.2 expected goals (xG) for Bahia and 0.9 for Mirassol, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Bahia take strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Mirassol have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).

Over their last 3 meetings, Bahia have won 1, Mirassol 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Bahia sit 5/20 and Mirassol 15/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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