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Bundesliga·Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 14:30
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
VS
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07

BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Bayer Leverkusen
75%
Draw
17%
SC Paderborn 07
8%
Model leans towards Bayer Leverkusen to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.5 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Bayer Leverkusen
LWLLW
SC Paderborn 07
DWLDD

Head-to-head (last 8)

Bayer Leverkusen 6W · 1D · 1W SC Paderborn 07

League position

Bayer Leverkusen: 5/18 · SC Paderborn 07: 13/18

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 match preview

Our AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourites for this Bundesliga fixture, giving them a 75% chance of victory against 8% for SC Paderborn 07 and 17% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.5 expected goals (xG) for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.6 for SC Paderborn 07, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Bayer Leverkusen take mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). SC Paderborn 07 have been poor over the same stretch (1W-3D-1L).

Over their last 8 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 6, SC Paderborn 07 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen sit 5/18 and SC Paderborn 07 13/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: frequently asked questions

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen to win the most likely outcome, giving Bayer Leverkusen a 75% chance, the draw 17% and SC Paderborn 07 8%.

How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?

The model projects 2.5 expected goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.6 for SC Paderborn 07 (3.1 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07 in?

Bayer Leverkusen are 2W-0D-3L and SC Paderborn 07 are 1W-3D-1L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org