Skip to content
UEFA Nations League·Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 17:00
BelarusBelarus
4:0
San MarinoSan Marino

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion · Full time

Belarus vs San Marino prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Belarus
89%
Draw
9%
San Marino
2%
Model favoured Belarus to win
BelarusMatch statsSan Marino
61%
Belarus
Poss
%
39%
San Marino
15Shots10
5Shots on target4
8Shots inside box5
6Corners4
16Fouls20
3Yellow cards5

Expected goals (xG)

3.0 vs 0.3

Form (last 5)

Belarus
WDLDW
San Marino
LLLLL

Head-to-head (last 3)

Belarus 3W · 0D · 0W San Marino

Belarus vs San Marino result & analysis

The match finished Belarus 4 San Marino 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Belarus on a 89% win probability, against 2% for San Marino and 9% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 3.0 expected goals (xG) for Belarus and 0.3 for San Marino, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Belarus had taken mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). San Marino had been poor over the same stretch (0W-0D-5L).

Over their last 3 meetings, Belarus have won 3, San Marino 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Belarus vs San Marino

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.

  • The AI's recommended pick for every match
  • Value bet scanner: our probability vs the odds
  • Live odds comparison across bookmakers
  • Model confidence, full market breakdown & score matrix
  • Daily accumulator builder
  • Verified AI track record
Unlock with Winotips Pro

Cancel anytime

Browse AI predictions for all of today's matches

Best betting sites

See all free bets

18+ · Advert · T&Cs apply · begambleaware.org

Belarus vs San Marino: frequently asked questions

Who won Belarus vs San Marino?

Belarus won 4:0. Our AI model had favoured Belarus to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Belarus vs San Marino?

4 in total (Belarus 4, San Marino 0). The model had projected 3.0 and 0.3 expected goals.

What form did Belarus and San Marino take into the match?

Belarus were 2W-2D-1L and San Marino were 0W-0D-5L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Belarus vs San Marino right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Belarus & San Marino news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org

Belarus vs San Marino Prediction, AI Analysis & Value Bets | Winotips