Belgium vs Türkiye prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Belgium

75%

Draw

17%

Türkiye

Model favoured Belgium to win

BelgiumMatch statsTürkiye

54%

Belgium

Poss
%

46%

Türkiye

17Shots22

10Shots on target7

11Shots inside box10

2Corners5

12Fouls12

3Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

2.5 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

Belgium

WLWLW

Türkiye

LWLLL

Head-to-head (last 1)

Belgium 1W · 0D · 0W Türkiye

League position

Belgium: 2/4 · Türkiye: 4/4

Belgium vs Türkiye result & analysis

The match finished Belgium 3 Türkiye 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Belgium on a 75% win probability, against 8% for Türkiye and 17% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.5 expected goals (xG) for Belgium and 0.8 for Türkiye, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Belgium had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Türkiye had been poor over the same stretch (1W-0D-4L).

Over their last 1 meetings, Belgium have won 1, Türkiye 0 and 0 finished level. In the table, Belgium sat 2/4 and Türkiye 4/4. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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