Bolton vs Stoke City prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Bolton

39%

Draw

30%

Stoke City

31%

Model favoured Bolton to win

BoltonMatch statsStoke City

67%

Bolton

Poss
%

33%

Stoke City

26Shots9

2Shots on target4

19Shots inside box6

10Corners4

8Fouls9

1Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.4 vs 1.2

Form (last 5)

Bolton

LLWWL

Stoke City

WDWWW

Head-to-head (last 8)

Bolton 2W · 2D · 4W Stoke City

League position

Bolton: 17/24 · Stoke City: 4/24

Bolton vs Stoke City result & analysis

The match finished Bolton 1 Stoke City 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Bolton on a 39% win probability, against 31% for Stoke City and 30% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.4 expected goals (xG) for Bolton and 1.2 for Stoke City, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Bolton had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Stoke City had been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).

Over their last 8 meetings, Bolton have won 2, Stoke City 4 and 2 finished level. In the table, Bolton sat 17/24 and Stoke City 4/24. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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