Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction, AI analysis & value bets

The match finished Borussia Dortmund 2 Werder Bremen 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Borussia Dortmund on a 91% win probability, against 2% for Werder Bremen and 7% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 3.8 expected goals (xG) for Borussia Dortmund and 0.6 for Werder Bremen, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Borussia Dortmund had taken strong form into the game (5W-0D-0L in their last 5). Werder Bremen had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 9 meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 6, Werder Bremen 1 and 2 finished level. In the table, Borussia Dortmund sat 1/18 and Werder Bremen 8/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.