Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Bournemouth

40%

Draw

28%

Liverpool

32%

Model favoured Bournemouth to win

BournemouthMatch statsLiverpool

46%

Bournemouth

Poss
%

54%

Liverpool

9Shots12

2Shots on target3

5Shots inside box6

2Corners3

10Fouls12

1Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

1.5 vs 1.3

Form (last 5)

Bournemouth

DWDWL

Liverpool

WWDWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Bournemouth 2W · 0D · 8W Liverpool

League position

Bournemouth: 17/20 · Liverpool: 6/20

Bournemouth vs Liverpool result & analysis

The match finished Bournemouth 0 Liverpool 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Bournemouth on a 40% win probability, against 32% for Liverpool and 28% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.5 expected goals (xG) for Bournemouth and 1.3 for Liverpool, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Bournemouth had taken mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). Liverpool had been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Bournemouth have won 2, Liverpool 8 and 0 finished level. In the table, Bournemouth sat 17/20 and Liverpool 6/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.