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Premier League·Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 15:00
BournemouthBournemouth
VS
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Bournemouth
58%
Draw
25%
Nottingham Forest
17%
Model leans towards Bournemouth to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.0 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

Bournemouth
WWWWW
Nottingham Forest
LLDLW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Bournemouth 6W · 4D · 0W Nottingham Forest

League position

Bournemouth: 7/20 · Nottingham Forest: 16/20

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest match preview

Our AI model makes Bournemouth the favourites for this Premier League fixture, giving them a 58% chance of victory against 17% for Nottingham Forest and 25% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.0 expected goals (xG) for Bournemouth and 0.8 for Nottingham Forest, pointing towards a moderately open game. Bournemouth take strong form into the game (5W-0D-0L in their last 5). Nottingham Forest have been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Bournemouth have won 6, Nottingham Forest 0 and 4 finished level. In the table, Bournemouth sit 7/20 and Nottingham Forest 16/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: frequently asked questions

Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our AI model makes Bournemouth to win the most likely outcome, giving Bournemouth a 58% chance, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 17%.

How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

The model projects 2.0 expected goals for Bournemouth and 0.8 for Nottingham Forest (2.8 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest in?

Bournemouth are 5W-0D-0L and Nottingham Forest are 1W-1D-3L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Bournemouth & Nottingham Forest news

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org