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Serie A·Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00
CagliariCagliari
VS
BolognaBologna

Unipol Domus

Cagliari vs Bologna prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Cagliari
26%
Draw
33%
Bologna
41%
Model leans towards Bologna to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.1 vs 1.2

Form (last 5)

Cagliari
LWWWD
Bologna
LDLDW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Cagliari 3W · 1D · 6W Bologna

League position

Cagliari: 4/20 · Bologna: 14/20

Cagliari vs Bologna match preview

Our AI model makes Bologna the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 41% chance of victory against 26% for Cagliari and 33% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.1 expected goals (xG) for Cagliari and 1.2 for Bologna, pointing towards a cagey, low-scoring game. Cagliari take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Bologna have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Cagliari have won 3, Bologna 6 and 1 finished level. In the table, Cagliari sit 4/20 and Bologna 14/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Cagliari vs Bologna: frequently asked questions

Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?

Our AI model makes Bologna to win the most likely outcome, giving Cagliari a 26% chance, the draw 33% and Bologna 41%.

How many goals are expected in Cagliari vs Bologna?

The model projects 1.1 expected goals for Cagliari and 1.2 for Bologna (2.2 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Cagliari and Bologna in?

Cagliari are 3W-1D-1L and Bologna are 1W-2D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Cagliari vs Bologna?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org