Primeira Liga·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 20:30
Casa Pia
Santa ClaraEstadio Municipal de Rio Maior · Full time
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
Casa PiaSanta Clara%
Expected goals (xG)
0.6 vs 2.1
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 7)
Casa Pia 2W · 2D · 3W Santa Clara
League position
Casa Pia: 17/18 · Santa Clara: 4/18
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara result & analysis
The match finished Casa Pia 0 Santa Clara 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Santa Clara on a 72% win probability, against 8% for Casa Pia and 21% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 0.6 expected goals (xG) for Casa Pia and 2.1 for Santa Clara, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Casa Pia had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Santa Clara had been strong over the same stretch (3W-2D-0L).
Over their last 7 meetings, Casa Pia have won 2, Santa Clara 3 and 2 finished level. In the table, Casa Pia sat 17/18 and Santa Clara 4/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: frequently asked questions
Who won Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara won 1:0. Our AI model had favoured Santa Clara to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
1 in total (Casa Pia 0, Santa Clara 1). The model had projected 0.6 and 2.1 expected goals.
What form did Casa Pia and Santa Clara take into the match?
Casa Pia were 1W-1D-3L and Santa Clara were 3W-2D-0L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get Casa Pia vs Santa Clara right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org