Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Celta Vigo

54%

Draw

27%

Alaves

19%

Model leans towards Celta Vigo to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Celta Vigo

DDDLW

Alaves

WWLLD

Head-to-head (last 10)

Celta Vigo 6W · 2D · 2W Alaves

League position

Celta Vigo: 14/20 · Alaves: 6/20

Celta Vigo vs Alaves match preview

Our AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourites for this La Liga fixture, giving them a 54% chance of victory against 19% for Alaves and 27% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Celta Vigo and 0.9 for Alaves, pointing towards a moderately open game. Celta Vigo take poor form into the game (1W-3D-1L in their last 5). Alaves have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Celta Vigo have won 6, Alaves 2 and 2 finished level. In the table, Celta Vigo sit 14/20 and Alaves 6/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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