Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Fluminense the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 56% chance of victory against 17% for Chapecoense-sc and 26% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.1 expected goals (xG) for Chapecoense-sc and 1.9 for Fluminense, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Chapecoense-sc take poor form into the game (0W-2D-3L in their last 5). Fluminense have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-0D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 2, Fluminense 5 and 3 finished level. In the table, Chapecoense-sc sit 20/20 and Fluminense 4/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.