Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Chelsea

72%

Draw

18%

Bournemouth

10%

Model favoured Chelsea to win

ChelseaMatch statsBournemouth

40%

Chelsea

Poss
%

60%

Bournemouth

10Shots9

6Shots on target4

7Shots inside box6

1Corners7

7Fouls14

0Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

2.6 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Chelsea

LWDLW

Bournemouth

WDWLL

Head-to-head (last 9)

Chelsea 5W · 4D · 0W Bournemouth

League position

Chelsea: 5/20 · Bournemouth: 17/20

Chelsea vs Bournemouth result & analysis

The match finished Chelsea 5 Bournemouth 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Chelsea on a 72% win probability, against 10% for Bournemouth and 18% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.6 expected goals (xG) for Chelsea and 0.9 for Bournemouth, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Chelsea had taken mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Bournemouth had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 9 meetings, Chelsea have won 5, Bournemouth 0 and 4 finished level. In the table, Chelsea sat 5/20 and Bournemouth 17/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.