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Major League Soccer·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:30
Chicago FireChicago Fire
VS
New York City FCNew York City FC

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Chicago Fire
37%
Draw
29%
New York City FC
22%
Model leans towards Chicago Fire to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.6 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Chicago Fire
DDLLW
New York City FC
DLWLD

Head-to-head (last 10)

Chicago Fire 0W · 3D · 7W New York City FC

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC match preview

Our AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourites for this Major League Soccer fixture, giving them a 37% chance of victory against 22% for New York City FC and 29% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.6 expected goals (xG) for Chicago Fire and 1.0 for New York City FC, pointing towards a moderately open game. Chicago Fire take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). New York City FC have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0, New York City FC 7 and 3 finished level. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Chicago Fire vs New York City FC: frequently asked questions

Who will win Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?

Our AI model makes Chicago Fire to win the most likely outcome, giving Chicago Fire a 37% chance, the draw 29% and New York City FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?

The model projects 1.6 expected goals for Chicago Fire and 1.0 for New York City FC (2.5 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Chicago Fire and New York City FC in?

Chicago Fire are 1W-2D-2L and New York City FC are 1W-2D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Chicago Fire & New York City FC news

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