Chicago Fire vs New York City FC prediction, AI analysis & value bets

The match finished Chicago Fire 2 New York City FC 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Chicago Fire on a 44% win probability, against 27% for New York City FC and 29% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.4 expected goals (xG) for Chicago Fire and 1.1 for New York City FC, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Chicago Fire had taken mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). New York City FC had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 9 meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0, New York City FC 6 and 3 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.