Coritiba vs Vitoria prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Coritiba

51%

Draw

27%

Vitoria

23%

Model leans towards Coritiba to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.8 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Coritiba

DLLDL

Vitoria

LWLDD

Head-to-head (last 10)

Coritiba 3W · 3D · 4W Vitoria

League position

Coritiba: 12/20 · Vitoria: 14/20

Coritiba vs Vitoria match preview

Our AI model makes Coritiba the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 51% chance of victory against 23% for Vitoria and 27% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.8 expected goals (xG) for Coritiba and 0.9 for Vitoria, pointing towards a moderately open game. Coritiba take poor form into the game (0W-2D-3L in their last 5). Vitoria have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Coritiba have won 3, Vitoria 4 and 3 finished level. In the table, Coritiba sit 12/20 and Vitoria 14/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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