UEFA Nations League·Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 19:45
Croatia
SpainStadion Poljud · Full time
Croatia vs Spain prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
CroatiaSpain%
Expected goals (xG)
0.5 vs 3.0
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 9)
Croatia 2W · 1D · 6W Spain
Croatia vs Spain result & analysis
The match finished Croatia 1 Spain 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Spain on a 85% win probability, against 3% for Croatia and 11% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 0.5 expected goals (xG) for Croatia and 3.0 for Spain, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Croatia had taken poor form into the game (1W-0D-4L in their last 5). Spain had been strong over the same stretch (5W-0D-0L).
Over their last 9 meetings, Croatia have won 2, Spain 6 and 1 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Croatia vs Spain: frequently asked questions
Who won Croatia vs Spain?
Spain won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Spain to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in Croatia vs Spain?
3 in total (Croatia 1, Spain 2). The model had projected 0.5 and 3.0 expected goals.
What form did Croatia and Spain take into the match?
Croatia were 1W-0D-4L and Spain were 5W-0D-0L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get Croatia vs Spain right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org