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Brazilian Série A·Wed, 18 Nov 2026, 23:30
CruzeiroCruzeiro
VS
PalmeirasPalmeiras

Estádio Mineirão

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Cruzeiro
27%
Draw
30%
Palmeiras
44%
Model leans towards Palmeiras to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.3 vs 1.5

Form (last 5)

Cruzeiro
LWWWW
Palmeiras
WDWWL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Cruzeiro 1W · 3D · 6W Palmeiras

League position

Cruzeiro: 3/20 · Palmeiras: 2/20

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras match preview

Our AI model makes Palmeiras the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 44% chance of victory against 27% for Cruzeiro and 30% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Cruzeiro and 1.5 for Palmeiras, pointing towards a moderately open game. Cruzeiro take strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Palmeiras have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Cruzeiro have won 1, Palmeiras 6 and 3 finished level. In the table, Cruzeiro sit 3/20 and Palmeiras 2/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras: frequently asked questions

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Our AI model makes Palmeiras to win the most likely outcome, giving Cruzeiro a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Palmeiras 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

The model projects 1.3 expected goals for Cruzeiro and 1.5 for Palmeiras (2.7 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Cruzeiro and Palmeiras in?

Cruzeiro are 4W-0D-1L and Palmeiras are 3W-1D-1L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org