Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Cruzeiro

73%

Draw

21%

Sao Paulo

Model favoured Cruzeiro to win

CruzeiroMatch statsSao Paulo

54%

Cruzeiro

Poss
%

46%

Sao Paulo

21Shots19

8Shots on target3

13Shots inside box11

8Corners8

12Fouls20

2Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.9 vs 0.4

Form (last 5)

Cruzeiro

LWLWW

Sao Paulo

LDWLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Cruzeiro 4W · 2D · 4W Sao Paulo

League position

Cruzeiro: 4/20 · Sao Paulo: 11/20

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo result & analysis

The match finished Cruzeiro 2 Sao Paulo 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Cruzeiro on a 73% win probability, against 6% for Sao Paulo and 21% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.9 expected goals (xG) for Cruzeiro and 0.4 for Sao Paulo, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Cruzeiro had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Sao Paulo had been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Cruzeiro have won 4, Sao Paulo 4 and 2 finished level. In the table, Cruzeiro sat 4/20 and Sao Paulo 11/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.