UEFA Nations League·Thu, 1 Oct 2026, 19:45
Denmark
PortugalParken Stadium · Full time
Denmark vs Portugal prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
DenmarkPortugal%
Expected goals (xG)
1.3 vs 2.0
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 3)
Denmark 1W · 0D · 2W Portugal
Denmark vs Portugal result & analysis
The match finished Denmark 2 Portugal 4. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Portugal on a 53% win probability, against 23% for Denmark and 24% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Denmark and 2.0 for Portugal, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Denmark had taken mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). Portugal had been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).
Over their last 3 meetings, Denmark have won 1, Portugal 2 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Denmark vs Portugal: frequently asked questions
Who won Denmark vs Portugal?
Portugal won 4:2. Our AI model had favoured Portugal to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in Denmark vs Portugal?
6 in total (Denmark 2, Portugal 4). The model had projected 1.3 and 2.0 expected goals.
What form did Denmark and Portugal take into the match?
Denmark were 2W-2D-1L and Portugal were 3W-1D-1L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get Denmark vs Portugal right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org