Ecuador vs Costa Rica prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Ecuador the favourites for this Friendlies fixture, giving them a 75% chance of victory against 7% for Costa Rica and 18% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.3 expected goals (xG) for Ecuador and 0.5 for Costa Rica, pointing towards a moderately open game. Ecuador take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Costa Rica have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-0D-3L).

Over their last 2 meetings, Ecuador have won 2, Costa Rica 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.