Egypt vs South Africa prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Egypt

60%

Draw

27%

South Africa

13%

Model favoured Egypt to win

EgyptMatch statsSouth Africa

61%

Egypt

Poss
%

39%

South Africa

16Shots6

5Shots on target2

11Shots inside box2

8Corners1

8Fouls9

2Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

Egypt

DDLDW

South Africa

DWLWW

Head-to-head (last 4)

Egypt 1W · 1D · 2W South Africa

Egypt vs South Africa result & analysis

The match finished Egypt 0 South Africa 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Egypt on a 60% win probability, against 13% for South Africa and 27% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Egypt and 0.7 for South Africa, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Egypt had taken poor form into the game (1W-3D-1L in their last 5). South Africa had been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).

Over their last 4 meetings, Egypt have won 1, South Africa 2 and 1 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.