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Ligue 1·Fri, 20 Nov 2026, 19:45
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
VS
Le HavreLe Havre

Stade de l'Aube

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Estac Troyes
25%
Draw
30%
Le Havre
46%
Model leans towards Le Havre to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.2 vs 1.5

Form (last 5)

Estac Troyes
LLDWL
Le Havre
LLLLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Estac Troyes 5W · 1D · 4W Le Havre

League position

Estac Troyes: 17/18 · Le Havre: 18/18

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre match preview

Our AI model makes Le Havre the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 46% chance of victory against 25% for Estac Troyes and 30% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Estac Troyes and 1.5 for Le Havre, pointing towards a moderately open game. Estac Troyes take poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Le Havre have been poor over the same stretch (0W-0D-5L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Estac Troyes have won 5, Le Havre 4 and 1 finished level. In the table, Estac Troyes sit 17/18 and Le Havre 18/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: frequently asked questions

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

Our AI model makes Le Havre to win the most likely outcome, giving Estac Troyes a 25% chance, the draw 30% and Le Havre 46%.

How many goals are expected in Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

The model projects 1.2 expected goals for Estac Troyes and 1.5 for Le Havre (2.6 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Estac Troyes and Le Havre in?

Estac Troyes are 1W-1D-3L and Le Havre are 0W-0D-5L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org