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Ligue 1·Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 19:45
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
VS
Le MansLe Mans

Stade de l'Aube

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Estac Troyes
12%
Draw
24%
Le Mans
63%
Model leans towards Le Mans to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.0 vs 2.0

Form (last 5)

Estac Troyes
LLDLL
Le Mans
DWLLL

Head-to-head (last 7)

Estac Troyes 2W · 2D · 3W Le Mans

League position

Estac Troyes: 17/18 · Le Mans: 16/18

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans match preview

Our AI model makes Le Mans the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 63% chance of victory against 12% for Estac Troyes and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.0 expected goals (xG) for Estac Troyes and 2.0 for Le Mans, pointing towards a moderately open game. Estac Troyes take poor form into the game (0W-1D-4L in their last 5). Le Mans have been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 7 meetings, Estac Troyes have won 2, Le Mans 3 and 2 finished level. In the table, Estac Troyes sit 17/18 and Le Mans 16/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: frequently asked questions

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

Our AI model makes Le Mans to win the most likely outcome, giving Estac Troyes a 12% chance, the draw 24% and Le Mans 63%.

How many goals are expected in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

The model projects 1.0 expected goals for Estac Troyes and 2.0 for Le Mans (2.9 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Estac Troyes and Le Mans in?

Estac Troyes are 0W-1D-4L and Le Mans are 1W-1D-3L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Estac Troyes & Le Mans news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org