Estac Troyes vs Marseille prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Estac Troyes

22%

Draw

28%

Marseille

50%

Model favoured Marseille to win

Estac TroyesMatch statsMarseille

37%

Estac Troyes

Poss
%

63%

Marseille

15Shots5

3Shots on target2

13Shots inside box5

6Corners3

14Fouls15

4Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.0 vs 1.6

Form (last 5)

Estac Troyes

WLLLD

Marseille

LLLLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Estac Troyes 1W · 2D · 7W Marseille

League position

Estac Troyes: 16/18 · Marseille: 17/18

Estac Troyes vs Marseille result & analysis

The match finished Estac Troyes 0 Marseille 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Marseille on a 50% win probability, against 22% for Estac Troyes and 28% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.0 expected goals (xG) for Estac Troyes and 1.6 for Marseille, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Estac Troyes had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Marseille had been poor over the same stretch (0W-0D-5L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Estac Troyes have won 1, Marseille 7 and 2 finished level. In the table, Estac Troyes sat 16/18 and Marseille 17/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.