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UEFA Nations League·Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 19:45
EstoniaEstonia
0:0
IcelandIceland

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Estonia vs Iceland prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Estonia
16%
Draw
29%
Iceland
55%
Model favoured Iceland to win
EstoniaMatch statsIceland
38%
Estonia
Poss
%
62%
Iceland
13Shots10
3Shots on target1
8Shots inside box7
3Corners7
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

0.7 vs 1.5

Form (last 5)

Estonia
WDDWD
Iceland
LDWWD

Head-to-head (last 3)

Estonia 0W · 3D · 0W Iceland

Estonia vs Iceland result & analysis

The match finished Estonia 0 Iceland 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Iceland on a 55% win probability, against 16% for Estonia and 29% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.7 expected goals (xG) for Estonia and 1.5 for Iceland, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Estonia had taken mixed form into the game (2W-3D-0L in their last 5). Iceland had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).

Over their last 3 meetings, Estonia have won 0, Iceland 0 and 3 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Estonia vs Iceland: frequently asked questions

Who won Estonia vs Iceland?

It finished level at 0:0. Our AI model had favoured Iceland to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Estonia vs Iceland?

0 in total (Estonia 0, Iceland 0). The model had projected 0.7 and 1.5 expected goals.

What form did Estonia and Iceland take into the match?

Estonia were 2W-3D-0L and Iceland were 2W-2D-1L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Estonia vs Iceland right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Estonia & Iceland news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org