Estonia vs Luxembourg prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Estonia

35%

Draw

34%

Luxembourg

31%

Model favoured Estonia to win

EstoniaMatch statsLuxembourg

46%

Estonia

Poss
%

54%

Luxembourg

14Shots8

9Shots on target2

10Shots inside box4

7Corners3

13Fouls12

3Yellow cards6

Expected goals (xG)

1.1 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Estonia

WWDDW

Luxembourg

LWWLL

Head-to-head (last 1)

Estonia 1W · 0D · 0W Luxembourg

Estonia vs Luxembourg result & analysis

The match finished Estonia 1 Luxembourg 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Estonia on a 35% win probability, against 31% for Luxembourg and 34% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.1 expected goals (xG) for Estonia and 1.0 for Luxembourg, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Estonia had taken strong form into the game (3W-2D-0L in their last 5). Luxembourg had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-0D-3L).

Over their last 1 meetings, Estonia have won 1, Luxembourg 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.