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Premiership·Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 15:00
FalkirkFalkirk
VS
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Falkirk Stadium

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Falkirk
58%
Draw
24%
ST Johnstone
18%
Model leans towards Falkirk to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.0 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Falkirk
WWWWW
ST Johnstone
DLDDW

Head-to-head (last 3)

Falkirk 1W · 1D · 1W ST Johnstone

League position

Falkirk: 3/12 · ST Johnstone: 7/12

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone match preview

Our AI model makes Falkirk the favourites for this Premiership fixture, giving them a 58% chance of victory against 18% for ST Johnstone and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.0 expected goals (xG) for Falkirk and 0.9 for ST Johnstone, pointing towards a moderately open game. Falkirk take strong form into the game (5W-0D-0L in their last 5). ST Johnstone have been poor over the same stretch (1W-3D-1L).

Over their last 3 meetings, Falkirk have won 1, ST Johnstone 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Falkirk sit 3/12 and ST Johnstone 7/12. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: frequently asked questions

Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?

Our AI model makes Falkirk to win the most likely outcome, giving Falkirk a 58% chance, the draw 24% and ST Johnstone 18%.

How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?

The model projects 2.0 expected goals for Falkirk and 0.9 for ST Johnstone (2.9 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Falkirk and ST Johnstone in?

Falkirk are 5W-0D-0L and ST Johnstone are 1W-3D-1L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org