Fluminense vs Coritiba prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Fluminense

79%

Draw

15%

Coritiba

Model favoured Fluminense to win

FluminenseMatch statsCoritiba

69%

Fluminense

Poss
%

31%

Coritiba

22Shots8

10Shots on target0

13Shots inside box6

3Corners2

9Fouls8

0Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

2.7 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

Fluminense

WLLWW

Coritiba

WLDLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Fluminense 5W · 3D · 2W Coritiba

League position

Fluminense: 3/20 · Coritiba: 9/20

Fluminense vs Coritiba result & analysis

The match finished Fluminense 4 Coritiba 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Fluminense on a 79% win probability, against 6% for Coritiba and 15% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.7 expected goals (xG) for Fluminense and 0.7 for Coritiba, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Fluminense had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Coritiba had been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Fluminense have won 5, Coritiba 2 and 3 finished level. In the table, Fluminense sat 3/20 and Coritiba 9/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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