France vs Belgium prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

France

72%

Draw

19%

Belgium

Model favoured France to win

FranceMatch statsBelgium

66%

France

Poss
%

34%

Belgium

23Shots5

8Shots on target2

14Shots inside box3

9Corners2

4Fouls8

1Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

2.3 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

France

LWWDW

Belgium

LWLWL

Head-to-head (last 7)

France 7W · 0D · 0W Belgium

League position

France: 1/4 · Belgium: 3/4

France vs Belgium result & analysis

The match finished France 4 Belgium 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured France on a 72% win probability, against 9% for Belgium and 19% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.3 expected goals (xG) for France and 0.8 for Belgium, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. France had taken strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Belgium had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-0D-3L).

Over their last 7 meetings, France have won 7, Belgium 0 and 0 finished level. In the table, France sat 1/4 and Belgium 3/4. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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