Bundesliga·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer LeverkusenMEWA Arena · Full time
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen%
Expected goals (xG)
1.3 vs 2.0
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
FSV Mainz 05 2W · 2D · 6W Bayer Leverkusen
League position
FSV Mainz 05: 8/18 · Bayer Leverkusen: 4/18
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen result & analysis
The match finished FSV Mainz 05 3 Bayer Leverkusen 4. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Bayer Leverkusen on a 53% win probability, against 23% for FSV Mainz 05 and 24% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
The model had projected 1.3 expected goals (xG) for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.0 for Bayer Leverkusen, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. FSV Mainz 05 had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Bayer Leverkusen had been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).
Over their last 10 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 2, Bayer Leverkusen 6 and 2 finished level. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 sat 8/18 and Bayer Leverkusen 4/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: frequently asked questions
Who won FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen won 4:3. Our AI model had favoured Bayer Leverkusen to win before kickoff.
How many goals were scored in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
7 in total (FSV Mainz 05 3, Bayer Leverkusen 4). The model had projected 1.3 and 2.0 expected goals.
What form did FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen take into the match?
FSV Mainz 05 were 3W-0D-2L and Bayer Leverkusen were 4W-1D-0L across their last five matches.
Did the Winotips AI get FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen right?
Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org