Germany vs Serbia prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Germany

89%

Draw

Serbia

Model favoured Germany to win

GermanyMatch statsSerbia

73%

Germany

Poss
%

27%

Serbia

32Shots1

8Shots on target1

21Shots inside box0

12Corners1

10Fouls9

0Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

3.2 vs 0.4

Form (last 5)

Germany

WLDDL

Serbia

WLLLL

Head-to-head (last 2)

Germany 0W · 1D · 1W Serbia

Germany vs Serbia result & analysis

The match finished Germany 2 Serbia 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Germany on a 89% win probability, against 2% for Serbia and 9% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 3.2 expected goals (xG) for Germany and 0.4 for Serbia, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Germany had taken poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Serbia had been poor over the same stretch (1W-0D-4L).

Over their last 2 meetings, Germany have won 0, Serbia 1 and 1 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.