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UEFA Nations League·Thu, 1 Oct 2026, 19:45
GreeceGreece
2:2
NetherlandsNetherlands

Toumba Stadium · Full time

Greece vs Netherlands prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Greece
20%
Draw
25%
Netherlands
55%
Model favoured Netherlands to win
GreeceMatch statsNetherlands
29%
Greece
Poss
%
71%
Netherlands
8Shots19
4Shots on target5
8Shots inside box14
6Corners8
6Fouls7
2Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.2 vs 2.0

Form (last 5)

Greece
DDLWW
Netherlands
WWDDW

Head-to-head (last 2)

Greece 0W · 0D · 2W Netherlands

Greece vs Netherlands result & analysis

The match finished Greece 2 Netherlands 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Netherlands on a 55% win probability, against 20% for Greece and 25% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Greece and 2.0 for Netherlands, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Greece had taken mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). Netherlands had been strong over the same stretch (3W-2D-0L).

Over their last 2 meetings, Greece have won 0, Netherlands 2 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Greece vs Netherlands: frequently asked questions

Who won Greece vs Netherlands?

It finished level at 2:2. Our AI model had favoured Netherlands to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Greece vs Netherlands?

4 in total (Greece 2, Netherlands 2). The model had projected 1.2 and 2.0 expected goals.

What form did Greece and Netherlands take into the match?

Greece were 2W-2D-1L and Netherlands were 3W-2D-0L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Greece vs Netherlands right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Greece & Netherlands news

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