Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Gremio

48%

Draw

28%

Cruzeiro

25%

Model leans towards Gremio to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 1.2

Form (last 5)

Gremio

LLLDD

Cruzeiro

LWLWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Gremio 3W · 2D · 5W Cruzeiro

League position

Gremio: 18/20 · Cruzeiro: 5/20

Gremio vs Cruzeiro match preview

Our AI model makes Gremio the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 48% chance of victory against 25% for Cruzeiro and 28% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Gremio and 1.2 for Cruzeiro, pointing towards a moderately open game. Gremio take poor form into the game (0W-2D-3L in their last 5). Cruzeiro have been strong over the same stretch (3W-0D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Gremio have won 3, Cruzeiro 5 and 2 finished level. In the table, Gremio sit 18/20 and Cruzeiro 5/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Gremio vs Cruzeiro

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.