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Premiership·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
VS
ST MirrenST Mirren

Tynecastle Park

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Heart Of Midlothian
62%
Draw
18%
ST Mirren
6%
Model leans towards Heart Of Midlothian to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.3 vs 0.5

Form (last 5)

Heart Of Midlothian
WWWLD
ST Mirren
DWLLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Heart Of Midlothian 4W · 4D · 2W ST Mirren

League position

Heart Of Midlothian: 3/12 · ST Mirren: 5/12

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren match preview

Our AI model makes Heart Of Midlothian the favourites for this Premiership fixture, giving them a 62% chance of victory against 6% for ST Mirren and 18% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.3 expected goals (xG) for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.5 for ST Mirren, pointing towards a moderately open game. Heart Of Midlothian take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). ST Mirren have been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 4, ST Mirren 2 and 4 finished level. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian sit 3/12 and ST Mirren 5/12. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren: frequently asked questions

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?

Our AI model makes Heart Of Midlothian to win the most likely outcome, giving Heart Of Midlothian a 62% chance, the draw 18% and ST Mirren 6%.

How many goals are expected in Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?

The model projects 2.3 expected goals for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.5 for ST Mirren (2.8 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren in?

Heart Of Midlothian are 3W-1D-1L and ST Mirren are 1W-1D-3L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Heart Of Midlothian & ST Mirren news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org