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HNL·Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 14:00
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
VS
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin

Stadion Poljud

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

HNK Hajduk Split
54%
Draw
24%
NK Varazdin
22%
Model leans towards HNK Hajduk Split to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.1 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

HNK Hajduk Split
WWWLW
NK Varazdin
WDDDW

Head-to-head (last 10)

HNK Hajduk Split 3W · 3D · 4W NK Varazdin

League position

HNK Hajduk Split: 1/10 · NK Varazdin: 2/10

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin match preview

Our AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourites for this HNL fixture, giving them a 54% chance of victory against 22% for NK Varazdin and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.1 expected goals (xG) for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.1 for NK Varazdin, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. HNK Hajduk Split take strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). NK Varazdin have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-3D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3, NK Varazdin 4 and 3 finished level. In the table, HNK Hajduk Split sit 1/10 and NK Varazdin 2/10. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin: frequently asked questions

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Our AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split to win the most likely outcome, giving HNK Hajduk Split a 54% chance, the draw 24% and NK Varazdin 22%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

The model projects 2.1 expected goals for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.1 for NK Varazdin (3.2 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin in?

HNK Hajduk Split are 4W-0D-1L and NK Varazdin are 2W-3D-0L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest HNK Hajduk Split & NK Varazdin news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org