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HNL·Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 14:00
HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
VS
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin

Stadion HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

HNK Rijeka
60%
Draw
23%
NK Varazdin
18%
Model leans towards HNK Rijeka to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.0 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

HNK Rijeka
LLWWL
NK Varazdin
DWLLD

Head-to-head (last 10)

HNK Rijeka 2W · 2D · 6W NK Varazdin

League position

HNK Rijeka: 5/10 · NK Varazdin: 3/10

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin match preview

Our AI model makes HNK Rijeka the favourites for this HNL fixture, giving them a 60% chance of victory against 18% for NK Varazdin and 23% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.0 expected goals (xG) for HNK Rijeka and 0.8 for NK Varazdin, pointing towards a moderately open game. HNK Rijeka take mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). NK Varazdin have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 2, NK Varazdin 6 and 2 finished level. In the table, HNK Rijeka sit 5/10 and NK Varazdin 3/10. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin: frequently asked questions

Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

Our AI model makes HNK Rijeka to win the most likely outcome, giving HNK Rijeka a 60% chance, the draw 23% and NK Varazdin 18%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

The model projects 2.0 expected goals for HNK Rijeka and 0.8 for NK Varazdin (2.8 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin in?

HNK Rijeka are 2W-0D-3L and NK Varazdin are 1W-2D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org