Iceland vs Bulgaria prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Iceland

73%

Draw

19%

Bulgaria

Model favoured Iceland to win

IcelandMatch statsBulgaria

52%

Iceland

Poss
%

48%

Bulgaria

10Shots9

6Shots on target3

7Shots inside box6

9Corners1

11Fouls14

2Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

2.1 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Iceland

LLDWW

Bulgaria

LDLDL

Head-to-head (last 1)

Iceland 1W · 0D · 0W Bulgaria

Iceland vs Bulgaria result & analysis

The match finished Iceland 3 Bulgaria 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Iceland on a 73% win probability, against 7% for Bulgaria and 19% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.1 expected goals (xG) for Iceland and 0.6 for Bulgaria, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Iceland had taken mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Bulgaria had been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 1 meetings, Iceland have won 1, Bulgaria 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.